TWIN Forecast


Bullish Case: TWIN's Katsa acquisition expands market reach and product offerings. Insider buying signals confidence. Relative undervaluation and potential price mean reversion favor a bullish stance.


Bearish Case: Deteriorating financial health and insider selling suggest caution. High implied volatility and negative historical returns indicate potential for further downside.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Price Recovery (+10-20%) - 40% chance (mean reversion, Katsa acquisition)

2. Further Decline (-10-20%) - 50% chance (insider selling, high volatility)

3. Sideways Movement (0%) - 10% chance (market volatility)


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July 18, 2024


Twin Disc Incorporated Forecast

TWIN      Twin Disc Incorporated











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TWIN



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.04)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.07)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.2)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.28)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TWIN



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.28)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.07)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.04)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.2)





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