TX Forecast


Bullish Case: TX's strong financials, especially cash reserves and minimal debt, indicate resilience. The high volume of call options suggests bullish sentiment and potential for price recovery.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and mean-reverting price action suggest continued challenges for TX, with potential downturns in steel demand and economic pressures persisting.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Economic Recovery (40%): Boosts industrial demand, increasing TX value.
  • Continued Downturn (35%): Suppresses demand further, lowering prices.
  • Stabilization (20%): Prices remain stable with minor fluctuations.
  • Geopolitical Impact (5%): Sudden events disrupt production, causing volatility.



June 25, 2025


Ternium S.A. - Forecast

TX        Ternium S.A. -











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TX



NUE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NUE  Nucor (0.91)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (0.9)


CLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLF  Cleveland-Cliffs (0.88)


AMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMD  Advanced Micro Devices (0.88)


DOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOW  Dow (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TX



MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (0.0)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.0)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.01)


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (-0.01)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TX



VRSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSN  Verisign (-0.78)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (-0.79)


GAMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GAMB  Gambling.com (-0.79)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.82)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.82)









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