TX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TX could benefit from improved steel demand amid global infrastructure projects and sustainable initiatives, supporting long-term growth. Recent low volatility offers attractive entry points.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and geopolitical risks may suppress TX prices, with ongoing economic pressures negatively impacting steel demand, resulting in potential further declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% chance of economic recovery driving demand.
  • 35% risk of continued downturn impacting prices.
  • 20% stabilization with minor fluctuations possible.



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    February 12, 2025


    Ternium S.A. - Forecast

    TX        Ternium S.A. -











    Correlated Assets

    Assets that tend to move strongly with TX



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    LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (0.88)


    CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (0.88)


    PSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSX  Phillips 66 (0.88)


    DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.87)



    Uncorrelated Assets

    Assets with little price relationship to TX



    VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGLT  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (-0.0)


    CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (0.01)


    VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.01)


    VXUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXUS  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total International Stock (-0.01)


    RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (0.01)



    Anticorrelated Assets

    Assets that tend to move strongly against TX



    TVTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TVTX  Travere Therapeutics (-0.85)


    TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGTX  TG Therapeutics (-0.85)


    OPFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPFI  OppFi (-0.87)


    RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.88)


    BNED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BNED  Barnes & Noble Education (-0.89)









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