TX Forecast


Bullish Case: TX's strong financials, especially cash reserves and minimal debt, indicate resilience. The high volume of call options suggests bullish sentiment and potential for price recovery.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and mean-reverting price action suggest continued challenges for TX, with potential downturns in steel demand and economic pressures persisting.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Economic Recovery (40%): Boosts industrial demand, increasing TX value.
  • Continued Downturn (35%): Suppresses demand further, lowering prices.
  • Stabilization (20%): Prices remain stable with minor fluctuations.
  • Geopolitical Impact (5%): Sudden events disrupt production, causing volatility.



June 25, 2025


Ternium S.A. - Forecast

TX        Ternium S.A. -
















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