URGN Forecast


Bullish Case: With an analyst consensus target of $46.67 indicating a robust upside, strong institutional and insider support, and recent mean-reverting price action, UroGen's long-term outlook reflects potential substantial gains, particularly if they prevail in ongoing patent litigations.


Bearish Case: URGN faces significant threats from a patent dispute with Teva, which could affect key revenue streams. The current trading at a substantial decrement from previous highs and high implied volatility suggests market skepticism and potential downside risks.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive litigation outcome (40% probability): Strong rally.

2. Adverse litigation result (30% probability): Further decline.

3. Neutral outcome or delay in litigation (30% probability): Continued volatility and mean reversion.


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May 01, 2024


UroGen Pharma Forecast

URGN        UroGen Pharma
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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