STLD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: STLD’s ongoing expansions and strong fundamentals suggest growth, potentially aligning with mean-reversion to boost share price as steel demand remains solid in key sectors.




Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and potential steel demand downturn, along with flat implied volatility, suggest downside risks, especially if macroeconomic factors exert pressure.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Stock price stagnates due to cyclicality (50%)
  2. Earnings beat leads to a rally (25%)
  3. Demand drop causes price decline (25%)




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May 15, 2025


Steel Dynamics Forecast

STLD        Steel Dynamics











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with STLD



LIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LIT  Global X Lithium & Battery Tech (0.73)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.7)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (0.63)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.63)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to STLD



UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.01)


PHG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHG  Koninklijke Philips (0.01)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (0.01)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.01)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against STLD



DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.22)


SOHU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOHU  Sohu.com Ltd. (-0.27)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.29)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (-0.31)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.38)









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