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STLD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: STLD's resilience and strategic expansions foster optimism, supported by strong earnings and a mean-reverting price trend. Current low implied volatility offers attractive entry points for growth. Helium Helium

Bearish Case: Persistently high inventories and potential demand slowdown due to macroeconomic pressures present downside risks. Backwardation in implied volatility indicates investor uncertainty. Helium Helium

Potential Outcomes: Economic resilience fuels 40% price recovery. 40% chance of price stagnation due to cyclicality. 20% economic downturn leads to reduced demand. Helium Helium

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread: buy $130 call, sell $140 call for March 2025. Leveraging backwardation in volatility, target mean-reversion trend over 2 months. Strong earnings and strategic expansions back potential gains with high reward:risk. No fluff, maximize alpha.

January 22, 2025

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STLD Steel Dynamics

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with STLD

CMC Commercial Metals (0.77)

LAC Lithium Americas (0.7)

CPA Copa (0.67)

DQ Daqo New Energy (0.64)

MT New York Shares (0.64)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to STLD

FLNC Fluence Energy (-0.0)

VTV Vanguard Value (-0.0)

UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (-0.0)

MAIN Main Street (0.0)

RVLV Revolve (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against STLD

KO Coca-Cola (-0.43)

INFY Infosys (-0.43)

BOIL ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.52)

CALX Calix (-0.53)

LCID Lucid (-0.62)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.