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USCI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: USCI's historical returns and current low implied volatility suggest solid growth potential. Strong commodity demand and reduced market fear could drive a positive trend, supported by low volatility for near-term options.

Bearish Case: High volatility in puts and global tensions may hinder USCI. Economic pressures and geopolitical risks elevate uncertainty, pushing sentiment towards caution. Investors wary of abrupt changes might suppress upward movement.

Potential Outcomes: Continued Fed hikes could pressure commodities (30% chance).
Global tension may disrupt supply, boosting USCI (20%).
Stable economic recovery supports price stability (50%).

July 01, 2025

United States Commodity Funds Forecast

USCI United States Commodity Funds

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USCI

TPR Tapestry (0.93)

CRK Comstock Resources (0.93)

HOOD Robinhood Markets (0.93)

SRAD Sportradar Group AG (0.92)

JFIN Jiayin (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USCI

RF Regions Financial (0.0)

DNA Ginkgo Bioworks (-0.0)

MRVL Marvell Technology (-0.01)

OKE Oneok (0.01)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USCI

IQV IQVIA (-0.87)

KHC Kraft Heinz (-0.88)

MYGN Myriad Genetics (-0.9)

CAL Caleres (-0.9)

CAG Conagra Brands (-0.92)

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