USPH Forecast


Bullish Case: USPH has strong institutional backing and favorable long-term potential. High implied volatility at higher strikes suggests significant upside is possible.


Bearish Case: Decline in stock, low recent returns, insider selling, and broader economic concerns could apply downward pressure, reflected in higher implied volatility for lower strikes.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Rebound from institutional support (40%).

2. Continued decline amid insider selling (30%).

3. Stagnation with high volatility (30%). Derived from historical patterns and current market sentiment.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish credit spread. Short 90.00 Puts, buy 85.00 Puts for Aug 16, 2024 expiration. Utilize high implied volatility below 90 to capture premium with limited risk. Time horizon: short-term.


July 23, 2024


U.S. Physical Therapy Forecast

USPH      U.S. Physical Therapy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USPH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.51)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.01)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USPH



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.01)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.5)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.51)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USPH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.51)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.5)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.01)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.15)





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