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VALE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: High call option volume suggests bullish sentiment. Mean reversion indicates potential price recovery.

Bearish Case: Backwardation and significant implied volatility imply potential near-term downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: Stable price due to mean reversion (50%), drop from backwardation (30%), volatility spikes offering trading opportunities (20%).

March 16, 2025

Vale Forecast

VALE Vale

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VALE

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (0.94)

DOW Dow (0.94)

HUN Huntsman (0.93)

GOGL Golden Ocean (0.93)

CNI Canadian National Railway (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VALE

AMH American Homes 4 Rent (0.0)

PTLO Portillos (0.01)

LHX L3Harris (0.01)

ESTC Elastic (-0.01)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VALE

CHWY Chewy (-0.87)

TGTX TG Therapeutics (-0.87)

SAP Sap SE (-0.87)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.88)

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences (-0.89)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.