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VLO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Valero's investment in renewable diesel and strong cash flow positions it favorably in a volatile market, offering a diversified revenue stream alongside traditional operations.

Bearish Case: High operational costs and regulatory pressures in key markets, coupled with declining refining margins, pose significant risks to sustaining current price levels.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of slow recovery as renewables grow.
2. 45% chance of stabilization amid mixed signals.
3. 15% chance of decline due to cost pressures.

April 23, 2025

Valero Energy Forecast

VLO Valero Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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