VSS Forecast


Bullish Case: Despite short-term flat price action, long-term prospects show potential with Delta class vehicles driving revenue growth from 2026 onward. Stable returns and future anticipation offer optimism.


Bearish Case: Immediate hiatus in spaceflights and historical volatility indicate likely short-term stagnation or declines. Financial pressures and reliance on untested future technology further risk downside.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Delta vehicles successful by 2026: 40%

2. Continued financial strain delays Delta flights: 30%

3. Temporary stock stagnation until Delta news: 20%

4. Major technological breakthrough accelerates timeline: 10%


Trading Oracle: Trade credit spreads (Helium Short Volatility) exploiting the high implied volatility skew. Bullish on long-term outlook beyond 2026 but hedge against short-term flat or bearish potential. Evaluate positions within 6-12 months.


June 30, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE All-World Ex-US Small Capital Index Forecast

VSS      Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard FTSE All-World Ex-US Small Capital Index











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VSS



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.57)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VSS



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.57)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.62)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VSS



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.91)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.48)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.57)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.62)





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