VYGR Forecast


Bullish Case: Voyager Therapeutics' recent IND clearance for VY-TAU01 and a strong pipeline with multiple development candidates can propel the stock upwards. The company's solid cash position and partnerships, such as those with Novartis, suggest a positive outlook.


Bearish Case: High historical volatility and a significant probability of price decline due to ongoing clinical trials and potential market headwinds create a bearish outlook. Delays or failures in key trials could heavily impact the stock.


Potential Outcomes:

1. IND approvals and successful trials (40%): significant upward spike,

2. Pipeline delays/failures (30%): steep decline,

3. External market changes impacting biotech (30%): varying impacts.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bearish stance with a long volatility strategy to capitalize on high projected volatility and potential downside. Execute a debit spread by buying the 10/18/2024 7.50 P and selling the 01/17/2025 7.50 P, aiming to profit from possible adverse outcomes by Q1 2025.


June 27, 2024


Voyager Therapeutics Forecast

VYGR      Voyager Therapeutics











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Uncorrelated Assets

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VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.09)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.12)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.38)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.4)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VYGR



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.4)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.38)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.12)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.09)





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