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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: The WSM implied volatility is trending higher than market volatility, indicating potential upward pressure on options pricing. This, combined with a historical mean reversion tendency, suggests a rebound in stock price, especially leading into the holiday season. The positive AI forecast also supports this bullish view.

Bearish Case: The stagnation in trading volume and recent declines from past highs raise concerns about buyer interest. Coupled with market uncertainty reflected in historical return patterns, there is a risk that any weak earnings reports could trigger further stock price drops, especially given the elevated implied volatility.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong holiday sales boost stock by 45% (30%).

2. Increased debt costs lead to a 20% price drop (25%).

3. Seasonal demand stabilizes stock near current prices (45%).

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September 06, 2024


Williams-Sonoma Forecast

WSM      Williams-Sonoma

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Assets that tend to move strongly with WSM


AVGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVGO  Broadcom (0.88)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.85)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.83)


OLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLN  Olin (0.83)


OXM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXM  Oxford Industries (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to WSM


PGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGR  Progressive (-0.0)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.0)


OKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OKE  Oneok (-0.0)


MMYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MMYT  MakeMyTrip (0.0)


SCVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCVL  Shoe Carnival (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WSM


NYCB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NYCB  New York Community Bancorp (-0.77)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.78)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.79)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.81)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.83)



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