WTM Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong institutional support, undervaluation as indicated by the low price-to-book ratio, and a historical trend of recovery in returns suggests a rebound could occur.


Bearish Case: Insider selling outpaces buying, creating bearish sentiment. Market uncertainties and a trend of stagnation could lead to further declines in share price.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Steady growth, 40%: Institutions reaffirm commitment.

2. Mild decline, 30%: Corrective market behavior.

3. Stagnation, 20%: Prolonged uncertainty.

4. Sharp downturn, 10%: Major adverse events.


Trading Oracle: Consider deploying credit call spreads targeting $1800 for the next three months, aligning with bearish sentiment and recent flat trends, to capture high reward:risk in a stagnant market environment.


July 24, 2024


White Mountains Insurance Group Forecast

WTM      White Mountains Insurance Group











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Uncorrelated Assets

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LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.54)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.57)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.65)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.8)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against WTM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.8)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.57)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.54)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.65)





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