XLV Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Innovations in healthcare and steady demand boost XLV's potential for growth. Lower implied volatility beyond 90 days suggests limited downside risk.


Bearish Case: Higher than market implied volatility and increased option trading volume in puts indicate market apprehension. Potential regulatory changes could pressure prices downward.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Sector growth due to innovation (50%).

2) Continued flat performance amidst volatility (35%).

3) Downturn from regulatory and market risks (15%).


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July 17, 2024


Health Care Select Sector SPDR Forecast

XLV      Health Care Select Sector SPDR











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SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.95)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.94)


VYM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VYM  Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx (0.94)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XLV



ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (-0.0)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.0)


EBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EBS  Emergent Biosolutions (-0.0)


RCUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCUS  Arcus Biosciences (-0.01)


GOOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOS  Canada Goose Holdings Inc (Subord Vot Shs) (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XLV



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)


TWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWM  ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (-0.92)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.92)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.94)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.94)





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