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XOM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Exxon Mobil's acquisition synergy, strong cash flows, and strategic investments in renewable energies position it favorably for sustained growth and resilience amid market fluctuations.

Bearish Case: Regulatory scrutiny, environmental concerns, and potential insider trading issues pose significant risks, potentially eroding investor confidence and impacting stock stability.

Potential Outcomes: Acquisition success boosts stock (60%).
Regulatory setbacks impact growth (20%).
Investor sentiment shifts negatively (20%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish short volatility position with put credit spreads (sell $110, buy $100 puts). Expire March 2025, capitalizing on mean-reverting trends and backwardation in term structure, achieving a high reward-to-risk ratio.

February 14, 2025

Exxon Mobil Forecast

XOM Exxon Mobil

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