AI OWL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: If the economic landscape stabilizes, OWL could benefit from continued AUM growth and favorable M&A activity, driving share prices upward. Current low implied volatility suggests potential significant price moves ahead.


Bearish Case: Rising interest rates may lead to increased borrower defaults, negatively impacting OWL's portfolio performance. Recent market volatility indications signal potential further price declines in the near term.


Potential Outcomes:

1) AUM growth remains strong if the economy avoids recession (60%).

2) Increased defaults due to a prolonged economic downturn (30%).

3) Strategic M&A strengthens market position (80%).


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September 21, 2024










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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OWL



OHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OHI  Omega Healthcare Investors (-0.0)


AAOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAOI  Applied Optoelectronics (0.0)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


CCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCI  Crown Castle International (-0.01)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OWL



FWRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FWRD  Forward Air (-0.78)


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.78)


CLNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLNE  Clean Energy Fuels (-0.78)


HIBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIBS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X Shares (-0.79)


CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (-0.81)





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