XP Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: XP's price has shown positive short-term momentum, supported by a bullish AI forecast and strong social media sentiment, indicating potential for continued upside.




Bearish Case: The flat term structure and high put volume suggest underlying market skepticism and potential downside risks limiting upward movement.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Growth with continued market interest (35%).

2. Stagnation due to lack of catalysts (40%).

3. Decline from external pressures (25%).




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May 20, 2025


XP Forecast

XP        XP











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XP



CVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVX  Chevron (-0.0)


SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (-0.0)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (-0.01)


IDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IDN  Intellicheck (0.01)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XP



PL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PL  Planet Labs PBC - (-0.77)


TRGP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRGP  Targa Resources (-0.77)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (-0.77)


GAMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GAMB  Gambling.com (-0.79)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (-0.81)









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