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Z Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Zillow's recent initiatives, particularly the 1% down payment program, could foster significant buyer interest, likely boosting sales and price appreciation. Market sentiment is leaning bullish, reflected in increased options activity.

Bearish Case: Ongoing high mortgage rates and potential adverse economic policies following Trump’s election could suppress housing demand, negatively impacting Zillow's growth despite recent program implementations.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% chance Zillow's new programs increase market engagement and revenue.

2. 30% chance high mortgage rates continue to challenge home sales.

3. 10% chance prolonged economic uncertainty leads to significant price drops.

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November 13, 2024

Zillow Forecast

Z Zillow

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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COMM CommScope (0.8)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to Z

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.01)

USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (0.01)

WFC Wells Fargo (-0.02)

CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (-0.02)

DNUT Krispy Kreme (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against Z

SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands (-0.68)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.69)

VAL Valaris (-0.71)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.71)

HRTX Heron Therapeutics (-0.72)

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