ZIM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: ZIM benefits from upward spot rates and logistical opportunities amid Red Sea tensions. Higher implied vol hints at bullish sentiment.


Bearish Case: Red Sea tensions resolution, bearish industry trends, and debt levels pose risks. Volatility surface shows market uncertainty over time.


Potential Outcomes: Likelihood of stock remaining volatile (70%). Moderate chance of price drop due to geopolitical risks (20%). Small chance for strong bullish moves (10%).


Trading Oracle: Initiate a Helium Long Volatility strategy with debit spreads on ZIM. Optimal to trade July-October maturities given current volatility. Bullish outlook leverages higher strike prices while managing risk through implied volatility insights.


June 30, 2024


Zim Integrated Shipping Services Forecast

ZIM      Zim Integrated Shipping Services











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ZIM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.26)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.31)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.54)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ZIM



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.26)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.31)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.54)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ZIM



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.68)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.26)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.31)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.54)





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