BA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Boeing's 44.9% growth over five years and strong defense contracts position it for further gains, with a focus on innovative technologies enhancing long-term prospects.




Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory scrutiny and public skepticism, alongside production challenges, pose significant risks, potentially destabilizing Boeing's recovery trajectory.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Increased aircraft orders: 60%
  • Regulatory setbacks: 30%
  • Production hurdles: 20%




Trading Oracle:
Exploit market mispricing by implementing a Bullish Short Volatility strategy. Sell ATM puts and buy OOTM puts. This strategy captures premium decay in a rising market, leveraging the high call option volume and moderate bullish sentiment. It's supported by market-neutral volatility surfaces adjusting over the term structure.



May 06, 2025










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RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (0.67)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.66)



Uncorrelated Assets

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HSIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSIC  Henry Schein (0.0)


NBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NBR  Nabors Industries (-0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BA



PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.58)


SPYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYD  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (-0.58)


CCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCK  Crown Holdings (-0.62)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.63)


CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (-0.65)









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