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LCID Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Lucid's acquisition of Nikola's facilities could enhance production capabilities. The shift in EV buyers' sentiment from Tesla to Lucid presents growth opportunities, reflected in high call option volume.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower strike prices indicates investor pessimism. Persistent production issues and competitive pressures, alongside financial instability, pose significant risks to Lucid's stability.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 40%: Successful integration of new facilities boosts growth.
  2. 30%: Financial struggles due to competitive pressure lead to stock decline.
  3. 20%: Acquisition generates significant operational challenges.
  4. 10%: Strategic partnerships refresh investor confidence.


April 19, 2025


Lucid Forecast

LCID        Lucid

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