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MOS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Mosaic's strategic positioning and sustained fertilizer demand drive potential growth. Strong call volume and bullish sentiment support positive outlook.

Bearish Case: Economic headwinds and regulatory challenges pose significant risks. Backwardation in volatility term structure indicates near-term uncertainty and potential price pressure.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of stabilization from strategic initiatives; 35% risk of regulatory/economic challenges leading to decline; 20% chance of volatility prompted by external shocks.

May 02, 2025

Mosaic Forecast

MOS Mosaic

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOS

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.83)

OVV Ovintiv (0.79)

DVN Devon Energy (0.75)

EC Ecopetrol SA (0.73)

ATKR Atkore (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOS

PHG Koninklijke Philips (0.0)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.0)

FDX Fedex (-0.01)

PHM PulteGroup (-0.01)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOS

BFLY Butterfly Network (-0.6)

TJX TJX Companies (-0.6)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.6)

NOW ServiceNow (-0.6)

TW Tradeweb Markets (-0.67)

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