TW Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong trading volumes and positive sentiment suggest potential upside. Historical returns show likely positive performance over prolonged holding periods, enhancing bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility above market averages, coupled with insider selling, suggests investor caution and potential overvaluation, posing risks of correction if profitability doesn't meet expectations.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Continued revenue growth: 40% chance.
  2. Market correction due to valuation: 30% chance.
  3. Stable sideways movement with mixed signals: 30% chance.




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April 17, 2025


Tradeweb Markets Forecast

TW        Tradeweb Markets











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TW



MFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFC  Manulife Financial (0.87)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.84)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (0.84)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.82)


FAST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAST  Fastenal (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TW



HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.0)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.01)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.02)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (-0.03)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TW



ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (-0.81)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.81)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.81)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.83)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.85)









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