TW Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TW shows strong trading volume growth and notable revenue increases. Historical return analysis indicates a likelihood of continued positive performance, supporting a bullish outlook over the longer term.




Bearish Case: TW's high P/E ratio and consistent insider selling warn of potential overvaluation. Implied volatility surface suggests growing uncertainty, increasing risks of market corrections.




Potential Outcomes: 50% probability of price stability owing to a flat volatility surface; 30% chance of bullish movement due to strong volume; 20% chance of downside due to insider trends.




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December 26, 2024


Tradeweb Markets Forecast

TW        Tradeweb Markets











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TW



DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.94)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (0.94)


MLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLI  Mueller Industries (0.94)


COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COOP  Mr. Cooper (0.93)


IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TW



FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (-0.01)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.01)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.02)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.03)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TW



LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (-0.86)


AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (-0.87)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.88)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)









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