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CGC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Canopy Growth could see an upswing from potential U.S. legalization, strategic partnerships, and diversified product launches, enhancing market access and profitability upside.

Bearish Case: Prolonged financial distress, high implied volatility, and ongoing competitive pressures raise the risk of further decline or insolvency, posing significant investor concern.

Potential Outcomes: 50%: Continued financial struggles leading to insolvency or bankruptcy.
30%: Financial recovery from strategic alliances and cost-cutting.
20%: Acquisition or merger activity improving financial condition.

Trading Oracle: Opt for a bearish long volatility strategy given the high implied volatility and financial uncertainty.
Profit from buying OOTM put options and selling fewer further OOTM put options: Bearish Long Volatility Strategy. This leverages potential volatility spikes with high upside potential.

May 04, 2025

Canopy Growth Forecast

CGC Canopy Growth

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CGC

CRON Cronos (0.97)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.97)

ASH Ashland (0.96)

COTY Coty (0.95)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CGC

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (0.0)

HL Hecla Mining (0.01)

APPN Appian (0.01)

RMBS Rambus (-0.02)

TTI Tetra Technologies (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CGC

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.88)

CHWY Chewy (-0.88)

LRN Stride (-0.89)

VNET VNET (-0.93)

FOXA Fox Corporation - (-0.95)

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