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HUM Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Strong Medicare Advantage growth and strategic partnerships boost revenues and investor confidence, supported by historical mean reversion patterns.



Bearish Case: Rising medical costs and regulatory pressures persist, along with high implied volatility, indicating potential downward pressure on HUM.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Medicare Advantage growth continues, boosting revenue (60%).
  • Regulatory pressures reduce profitability (50%).
  • Rising costs strain margins (55%).


May 10, 2025


Humana Forecast

HUM        Humana

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MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.75)


ALLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLY  Ally Financial (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HUM


WWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WWD  Woodward (-0.01)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (-0.02)


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.02)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.03)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HUM


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.73)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.74)


YINN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YINN  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares (-0.74)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (-0.79)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.79)







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