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USA Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: The historical return surface suggests positive returns for long holding periods, bolstered by economic recovery signals and stable consumer confidence.



Bearish Case: Short-term volatility risk remains due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, with high negative return potential for short holdings.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Economic Stabilization: 40% - Influenced by policy and consumer trends.
  • Increased Volatility: 30% - Driven by geopolitical tensions.
  • Recession: 20% - Persistent inflation concerns.
  • Technological Innovation: 10% - Potential breakthrough impacts.


May 02, 2025


Liberty All-Star Equity Forecast

USA        Liberty All-Star Equity

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USA


DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (0.8)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (0.76)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.75)


UROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UROY  Uranium Royalty (0.75)


VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VB  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USA


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.0)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (-0.01)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (0.01)


TRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRI  Thomson-Reuters (0.01)


GSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GSL  Global Ship Lease (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USA


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.51)


OPCH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPCH  Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (-0.51)


DOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOG  ProShares Short Dow30 (-0.51)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.52)


SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.7)







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