TRI Forecast


Bullish Case: TRI's AI product success can lead to increased earnings. Market implied volatility is projected to be steady. Historical performance shows substantial long-term profitability, providing a favorable environment for a bullish outlook.


Bearish Case: Current flat price action and historical mean-reversion indicate limited upside potential. Discrepancies between market and Helium implied volatility suggest market may underprice risks, potentially resulting in downturn.


Potential Outcomes:

1. AI product success (30%) increases earnings, drives price up.

2. Market complacency (20%) maintains low volatility, TRI stagnates.

3. Competitive disruption (25%) reduces TRI's market share, price dips.

4. Market recalibration (15%) adjusts to risks, boosts volatility.

5. Earnings outperformance (10%) elevates TRI price.


Trading Oracle: Short-term bearish, focus on credit spreads (Helium short volatility). Execute a delta-neutral iron condor with TRI 10/18/2024 150.00 P and TRI 10/18/2024 200.00 C to leverage premium collection, capitalizing on flat volatility and high probability-of-profit. Maintain active adjustments.


July 20, 2024


Thomson-Reuters Forecast

TRI      Thomson-Reuters











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TRI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.34)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.7)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRI



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.34)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.7)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.34)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.7)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.71)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with TRI


 Ask any question about TRI!