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NOVA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NOVA's partnerships and AI expansion could trigger growth amidst the renewable energy demand. Innovative solar solutions and recent funding boost potential for market share gains.

Bearish Case: High competition and regulatory unpredictability threaten NOVA's growth in the solar sector. Coupled with recent flat price trends and significant past declines, risks continue to loom.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of regulatory boosts aiding recovery.
50% risk of economic downturn hurting solar growth.
20% for competitive displacement due to better-funded rivals.

May 21, 2025

Sunnova Energy International Forecast

NOVA Sunnova Energy International

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NOVA

LEN Lennar (0.91)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.91)

CAL Caleres (0.9)

ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded (0.88)

UWMC UWM Holdings Corporation (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOVA

KKR KKR (-0.0)

LIT Global X Lithium & Battery Tech (0.01)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (0.01)

OUT Outfront Media (0.01)

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOVA

HOOD Robinhood Markets (-0.78)

TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.78)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.8)

TPR Tapestry (-0.8)

USAU U.S. Gold (-0.88)

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