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STLD Forecast


Bullish Case: STLD’s ongoing expansions and strong fundamentals suggest growth, potentially aligning with mean-reversion to boost share price as steel demand remains solid in key sectors.



Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and potential steel demand downturn, along with flat implied volatility, suggest downside risks, especially if macroeconomic factors exert pressure.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Stock price stagnates due to cyclicality (50%)
  2. Earnings beat leads to a rally (25%)
  3. Demand drop causes price decline (25%)



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May 15, 2025


Steel Dynamics Forecast

STLD        Steel Dynamics

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with STLD


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.64)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.63)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.55)


DFEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFEN  Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.55)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.54)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to STLD


NKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKE  Nike (-0.0)


ZBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZBH  Zimmer Biomet (0.0)


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (-0.0)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (0.01)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against STLD


YCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCL  ProShares Ultra Yen (-0.22)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (-0.24)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.24)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.28)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.29)







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