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VRTX Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: $VRTX benefits from a $4 billion buyback program and a promising cystic fibrosis market monopoly. Strong future prospects lie in its pain treatment drug, JOURNAYX.



Bearish Case: Challenges include halted therapies and high put option volume, suggesting skepticism. Rising R&D costs can pressure profits despite strategic buybacks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • FDA approvals lift growth: 60%.
  • Increased competition erodes share: 50%.
  • R&D cost leads to profit pressure: 60%.
  • Market sentiment drives volatility: 70%.


May 25, 2025


Vertex Pharmaceuticals Forecast

VRTX        Vertex Pharmaceuticals

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