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AAPL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Stable AAPL volatility with high call volume indicates potential market optimism. Upcoming discounts in China might boost sales. Steady implied volatility suggests stable investor sentiment.

Bearish Case: Discounts on iPhones and missed sales in China imply pressure. High volatility near-term and legal settlements could further strain finances. Competitive pressures and geopolitical issues persist.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong sales in China due to discounts (60%).

2. Continued regulatory challenges (30%).

3. Potential rebound in U.S. sales supports stability (50%).

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread with high reward: risk by purchasing AAPL $252.50 calls and selling $255 calls with February expiration. Stable volatility and high call volume imply potential upside, leveraging discounts and stable U.S. performance for profit. Target short-term gains amidst volatility peaks.

January 03, 2025

Apple Forecast

AAPL Apple

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AAPL

LCID Lucid (0.0)

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URBN Urban Outfitters (-0.01)

NOVA Sunnova Energy International (-0.02)

WHR Whirlpool (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AAPL

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.87)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)

BRKR Bruker (-0.87)

LEA Lear (-0.88)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.88)

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