ABR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: ABR's steady dividend, insider buying, high book value, and strong liquidity position support bullish sentiment. ABR consistently out-earnings its dividend, enhancing investor confidence.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility, DOJ investigation, and substantial short interest signal potential further decline. Volume trend shows bearish dominance, aligning with ongoing market concerns.


Potential Outcomes: 60% DOJ probe impacts price negatively. 25% Insider confidence supports minor rebound. 15% Market factors continue to press stock flat, pending legal resolution outcomes.


Trading Oracle: Execute a short-term bearish credit spread. Sell ABR $14.0 call and buy $16.0 call expiring August 16, 2024. High market uncertainty, ongoing DOJ probe, and high implied volatilities favor Helium's edge. Target 20-25% profit.


July 23, 2024


Arbor Realty Forecast

ABR      Arbor Realty











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Assets that tend to move strongly against ABR



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