ABR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: With mean reversion patterns and a strong dividend yield, ABR may attract investors seeking income stability. Current implied volatilities suggest potential stabilization, supporting upside potential.




Bearish Case: High put trading volumes and persistent market skepticism point to downside risks. Regulatory scrutiny and high debt levels may exacerbate ABR's vulnerabilities, affecting stock performance.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Minor Upside (35%): Positive sentiment from dividends.

2. Stagnation (30%): Market indecision amid regulatory concerns.

3. Downside (35%): Continued pressure from skepticism and debt.




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March 26, 2025


Arbor Realty Forecast

ABR        Arbor Realty











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ABR



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