ADM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ADM's implied volatility is currently below mean levels, supportive of upward potential with a declared stable dividend and recent financial performance indicators.




Bearish Case: Ongoing uncertainties in agricultural markets and historical pressures from past accounting issues may lead to downside risks, reflected in recent implied volatility spikes.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Upside post-dividend distribution (35%)
  • Volatility-induced price drop (30%)
  • Slight gains from mean-reversion (20%)
  • Severe market disruptions (15%)




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June 03, 2025


Archer Daniels Midland Forecast

ADM        Archer Daniels Midland











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STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.92)


ODP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODP  ODP (0.91)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.91)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.91)


FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ADM



SABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SABR  Sabre (-0.0)


D Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   D  Dominion Energy (-0.0)


XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLK  Technology Select Sector SPDR (-0.01)


HAYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAYW  Hayward (0.01)


SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ADM



CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.83)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.84)


VRSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRSN  Verisign (-0.84)


FTNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTNT  Fortinet (-0.87)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (-0.87)









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