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ADM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ADM could see upside from strong ethanol demand and sustainability-focused growth. Lower helium implied volatility suggests underpricing of future movements which is bullish.



Bearish Case: Ongoing regulatory and market uncertainty, coupled with backwardation in the term structure, indicate potential downward pressure on ADM. High put volume suggests bearish sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Positive agricultural demand drives growth: 40% likelihood.
  • Negative regulatory shift impacts ADM: 30% likelihood.
  • Stable price with minor fluctuations: 30% likelihood.



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May 03, 2025


Archer Daniels Midland Forecast

ADM        Archer Daniels Midland

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Assets that tend to move strongly with ADM


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.93)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (0.93)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.93)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.92)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ADM


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (-0.01)


FLYW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLYW  Flywire (-0.02)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (-0.02)


H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (0.03)


QYLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QYLD  Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ADM


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.85)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.87)


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.87)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.88)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.91)







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