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ADM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ADM's strategic focus on sustainable agriculture and biofuels positions it for growth in a transitioning energy market. Reduced carbon footprint initiatives enhance long-term prospects.



Bearish Case: Ongoing global market volatility and internal challenges may pressure ADM’s financial performance, potentially leading to further stock declines. Regulatory scrutiny adds uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes: ADM price stabilization at $50-$55 level (60%), slight downturn to $48-$50 (30%), or minor rally above $55 (10%) due to sector developments.



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish credit spread by selling $50 puts and buying $48 puts, leveraging low implied volatility. This strategy offers a favorable risk-reward ratio with a high probability of profit. Target 4-6 weeks for potential catalyst-driven upside. Helium models suggest high edge due to current market sentiment.


January 30, 2025


Archer Daniels Midland Forecast

ADM        Archer Daniels Midland

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FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ADM


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.0)


PSFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSFE  Paysafe Limited (0.0)


NRDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRDS  Nerdwallet (0.0)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (0.0)


HPQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HPQ  HP (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ADM


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.72)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.73)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (-0.74)


WH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WH  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (-0.8)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (-0.82)







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