AKBA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: FDA approval of Vafseo, rising call options, and a rebound from a historical low point signal potential upside. A projected peak sales hitting $954 million by 2031 fosters optimism.


Bearish Case: Steep 10-year historical losses, high put activity, and insider selling suggest enduring skepticism about AKBA's long-term prospects despite short-term surges.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Vafseo market adoption exceeds expectations: 40% chance.

2. Vafseo sales struggle, stunting growth: 45%.

3. Sideways trading due to uncertain revenue: 15%.


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April 26, 2024


Akebia Therapeutics Forecast

AKBA        Akebia Therapeutics
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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