ALG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Historical return surfaces show stronger likelihood for positive returns over 1-2 years. Positive sentiment and sector growth bolster confidence.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price decline signal market concerns. Reduced investor confidence due to past missed expectations.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price Increase (60%): Strong sector growth and strategic initiatives boost ALG.
  • Price Decline (30%): High volatility and economic pressures lead to sell-offs.
  • Stagnation (10%): Mixed signals cause market hesitation.




Trading Oracle: Consider deploying bullish debit spreads focusing on ALG 180.00 calls with expirations in 30-60 days. Target strikes slightly below current peaks as historical data indicates potential rebounds. Favorable sector momentum and moderate implied volatility enhance the reward-to-risk ratio.



February 15, 2025


Alamo Forecast

ALG        Alamo











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALG



LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.77)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.74)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.66)


MTN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTN  Vail Resorts (0.66)


MNST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNST  Monster Beverage (0.65)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALG



YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (0.0)


SBUX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBUX  Starbucks (-0.0)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.0)


AMZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMZN  Amazon.com (0.0)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALG



INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (-0.54)


CALX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALX  Calix (-0.55)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (-0.57)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.58)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.71)









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