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APP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent acquisitions and strong ad tech position APP for sustained growth. Implied volatility suggests potential upside momentum.

Bearish Case: High valuation and regulatory risk imply potential downside, compounded by mean-reverting price history and increased put option volumes.

Potential Outcomes: Price increase due to new acquisitions and tech advancement (40%).
Regulatory challenges causing decline (30%).
Market stabilization (30%).

Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility Strategy makes sense as APP's high implied volatility and bullish sentiment suggest selling ATM puts and buying OOTM puts maximizes potential profit.

March 30, 2025

Applovin Corp Forecast

APP Applovin Corp

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to APP

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against APP

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STM New York Shares (-0.87)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.89)

COTY Coty (-0.89)

GES Guess (-0.91)

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