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ARKG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Increased bullish sentiment, call volume, and slightly lower market vs. Helium implied volatility suggests potential short-term rebound as bullish momentum builds.



Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility, historical downtrend, and skepticism about biotech's profitability suggest continued downside pressure in the medium term.



Potential Outcomes: 40% chance for short-term stability, 30% for further decline due to volatility, 30% for sentiment-driven rally. Possible upside amid bullish sentiment.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish short volatility strategy by selling $25.0 strike put options and buying $22.0 put options expiring in ~15 days. This captures premium with 69% probability of profit and 28% potential return. Mitigates volatility risks while aiming to capitalize on sentiment.


December 27, 2024


ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution Forecast

ARKG        ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution

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NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.77)


VERV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VERV  Verve Therapeutics (0.73)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.72)


ABEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABEV  Ambev (0.72)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARKG


MAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAX  MediaAlpha (0.01)


BATRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BATRK  Liberty Media Corp. (Tracking Stock - Braves) Series C (0.02)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (0.02)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.03)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARKG


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.61)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.62)


BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (-0.62)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.69)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.7)







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