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ARKG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Optimism towards gene-editing breakthroughs and potential FDA approvals can drive short-term rallies, supported by increasing bullish sentiment and technical indicators.



Bearish Case: Persistent high volatility and heavy put option volume suggest continued investor uncertainty, compounded by historical performance declines and regulatory challenges.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 30% chance of a rebound due to breakthrough news.
  2. 40% likelihood of continued volatility causing declines.
  3. 30% potential for stabilization if sentiment improves.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish short volatility strategy. Sell $26.5 put and buy $25 put with ~7 days to expiration. This strategy has a 74% probability of profit and captures premium decay. The reward:risk is favorable, leveraging implied volatility insights. High edge and potential annualized returns at 194%.


January 26, 2025


ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution Forecast

ARKG        ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution

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WSC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WSC  WillScot Mobile Mini (0.75)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (0.68)


VERV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VERV  Verve Therapeutics (0.64)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.64)


OPCH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPCH  Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARKG


SNAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNAP  Snapchat (-0.0)


MHK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MHK  Mohawk Industries (-0.01)


UWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWM  ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.01)


VXUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXUS  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total International Stock (-0.01)


RDFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RDFN  Redfin (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARKG


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.48)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.48)


BILI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BILI  Bilibili (-0.53)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.54)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.61)







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