CBOE Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Cboe's continued product innovation, including launching the new U.S. Treasury Market Volatility Index (VIXTLT), aligns with increased investor interest and broadens market offerings, potentially boosting trading volumes.


Bearish Case: Low option trading volumes and high implied volatility signal market stagnation concerns. Insider sales compound uncertainty, potentially triggering investor caution and reducing stock price.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Innovation boosts volumes - 60%.

2. Low trading activity impacts stock negatively - 40%.

3. Regulatory changes detract from growth - 20%. Potential outcomes derived from historical return trends and implied volatility.


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June 30, 2024


Cboe Global Markets Forecast

CBOE      Cboe Global Markets











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CBOE



VRNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNS  Varonis Systems (0.91)


AGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGO  Assured Guaranty (0.89)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.89)


SUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUN  Sunoco (0.88)


EDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDU  New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. - (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CBOE



TRUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRUP  Trupanion (-0.0)


DOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOC  Physicians Realty (-0.0)


KNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KNX  Knight-Swift Transportation (0.0)


CF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CF  CF Industries (-0.0)


BLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Bond (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CBOE



GOGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOGO  Gogo (-0.82)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.82)


DM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DM  Desktop Metal (-0.83)


MPW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPW  Medical Properties (-0.84)


APD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APD  Air Products & Chemicals (-0.87)





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