ARLP Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: ARLP's strategic diversification and potential recovery in energy markets could drive up demand, supported by strong historical returns and steady dividend payouts that attract investors.




Bearish Case: Continued operational challenges and high market volatility could lead to declining stock performance, as recent earnings misses suggest persistent downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stabilization at $30 - 30%.

2. Minor recovery due to energy sector support - 25%.

3. Shift to bearish trend given operational issues - 45%.




Trading Oracle: Consider using a bullish debit spread by buying the 01/17/2025 $27.50 calls and selling the $30.00 calls to capitalize on potential upward price movement while managing risks. Moderate implied volatility suggests room for profit as market sentiment stabilizes.



November 20, 2024


Alliance Resource Forecast

ARLP        Alliance Resource











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