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ASLE Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: ASLE could rally due to renewed investor interest in aviation technologies and potential operational improvements ahead. The price return surface indicates favorable returns for long-term holding.

Bearish Case: Continued pressures from competition and operational challenges may keep ASLE under bearish trends, particularly with high implied volatility indicating market skepticism towards short-term recovery.

Potential Outcomes: Rally to $8 (30%): Driven by positive sentiment from operational initiatives.
Flat around $6.50 (40%): Sustained uncertainty impacting price stability.
Drop to $5 (30%): Weak demand leading to further price erosion.

Trading Oracle: Explore a conservative bullish strategy by buying the ASLE 01/17/2025 7.50 C while selling the 8.00 C. High implied volatility offers potential upside with moderate risk. Target a holding period leading up to earnings announcements for optimal valuation adjustments.

December 14, 2024

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HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ASLE

PEP Pepsico (-0.0)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.0)

RETL Direxion Daily Retail Bull 3x Shares (0.0)

NET Cloudflare (-0.0)

AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ASLE

PGR Progressive (-0.87)

FTAI Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (-0.87)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.87)

GDDY Godaddy (-0.87)

RTX Raytheon (-0.88)

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