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BANC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BANC's mean-reverting price suggests potential upside from synergies. Overlapping helium and market volatility supports strategic entries.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and regional banking risks may suppress BANC, complicating profitability despite merger synergies.

Potential Outcomes: Successful integration boosts stock (Added value, 60% chance).
Regional instability pressures price (Negative impact, 30% chance).
Regulatory shifts influence operations (Moderate effect, 10% chance).

Trading Oracle: Leverage positive edge with BANC bullish long volatility strategy. Buy $12.5 calls and sell $15.0 calls, capturing potential mean reversion within a flat term structure, minimizing risk while targeting volatility uptick.

April 24, 2025

Banc of California Forecast

BANC Banc of California

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BANC

MTB M & T (0.9)

FITB Fifth Third Bancorp (0.88)

MAC Macerich (0.88)

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.88)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BANC

SAN Banco Santander (-0.0)

DAN Dana (0.0)

FOLD Amicus Therapeutics (-0.01)

ZBH Zimmer Biomet (-0.01)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BANC

GSL Global Ship Lease (-0.54)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.57)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.59)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.63)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.73)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.