BX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Blackstone's strategic expansions in AI and private equity, coupled with substantial dry powder and positive market sentiment, suggest strong growth potential.




Bearish Case: Rising interest rates and real estate market uncertainties, along with increased put option volumes, indicate potential downward pressure on BX.




Potential Outcomes:

1. (45%) Strategic growth leads to profits.

2. (35%) Rising rates hinder returns.

3. (20%) Real estate instability impacts negatively.




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February 14, 2025


Blackstone Forecast

BX        Blackstone
















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