BX Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Blackstone's strategic investments and industry leadership project continued growth, with implied volatilities favoring bullish strategies.


Bearish Case: Potential defaults and market headwinds suggest downside risk, though mean-reverting trends moderate extreme bearish expectations.


Potential Outcomes: Probability scenario: 50% moderate growth, 30% market stagnation, 20% downturn influenced by macro and industry factors.


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July 16, 2024


Blackstone Forecast

BX      Blackstone











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BX



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.65)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.38)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.49)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BX



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.38)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.49)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.65)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BX



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.65)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.38)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.49)





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