HDSN Forecast


Bullish Case: Hudson Technologies could see an uptrend bolstered by strong fundamentals, regulatory support for refrigerant recovery, and potential market share gains with a high net profit margin and increasing earnings estimates.


Bearish Case: Negative sentiment from recent revenue and margin downgrades, declining stock price trends, and external protest disruptions pose downside risks and suggest potential further underperformance.


Potential Outcomes: 15% rapid price increase due to regulatory updates and better than expected earnings, 45% moderate recovery aligning with HFC phasedown, 40% continued decline due to revenue/margin headwinds and external disruptions.


Trading Oracle: Trade Helium Long Volatility via a debit spread to capitalize on expected high volatility: buy HDSN 8/16/2024 $9.00 calls and sell HDSN 8/16/2024 $11.00 calls. Positive edge, high reward:risk, with a 3-4 month time horizon as regulatory and earnings catalysts approach. High probability of profit given current volatility trends.


July 23, 2024


Hudson Technologies Forecast

HDSN      Hudson Technologies











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LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.47)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.44)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.55)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HDSN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.44)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.47)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.55)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.58)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HDSN



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.47)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.44)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.55)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.58)





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