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BCE Forecast + Trading Strategies

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BCE's strong dividend yield attracts income-focused investors, providing a buffer against market volatility. Stable interest rates may support long-term investor confidence.

Bearish Case: Persistent competitive pressures and declining market share raise doubts about BCE's capacity to innovate and sustain dividends, potentially driving further declines.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of price stability due to dividend allure, 45% chance of decline from competitive pressures, 15% chance of rally if favorable news emerges.

Trading Oracle: Sell BCE bearish credit spreads by selling $24 call options and buying $26 calls expiring in ~39 days. Leverage high IV and market skepticism for profit, targeting a decline. Manage risk with tight spreads.

February 11, 2025

BCE Forecast

BCE BCE

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