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BCE Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: BCE's strong dividend yield attracts income-focused investors, providing a buffer against market volatility. Stable interest rates may support long-term investor confidence.



Bearish Case: Persistent competitive pressures and declining market share raise doubts about BCE's capacity to innovate and sustain dividends, potentially driving further declines.



Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of price stability due to dividend allure, 45% chance of decline from competitive pressures, 15% chance of rally if favorable news emerges.



Trading Oracle: Sell BCE bearish credit spreads by selling $24 call options and buying $26 calls expiring in ~39 days. Leverage high IV and market skepticism for profit, targeting a decline. Manage risk with tight spreads.


February 11, 2025











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