BGI Forecast


Bullish Case: BGI's LATAM expansion through its Uruguay lab is set to substantially boost revenues, supported by favorable regulations and limited competition in the region. The likelihood of positive returns, as seen in the historical return surface, further strengthens this outlook.


Bearish Case: US legislative threats, like the Biosecure Act, could severely limit BGI’s market share and revenue streams in critical regions. The historical return surface also highlights a significant probability of limited to negative returns in the short-term.


Potential Outcomes:

1. US legislative restrictions enforced (30%).

2. Increased LATAM market share due to Uruguay lab (40%).

3. Continuing revenue declines due to tightening regulations and competition (30%).


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July 17, 2024


Birks Forecast

BGI      Birks











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BGI



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.6)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.54)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.6)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BGI



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.54)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.6)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.6)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.68)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BGI



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.6)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.54)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.6)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.68)





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