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BOE Forecast

Bullish Case: BOE’s consistent dividend and recent price increase signal investor confidence. Historical data show potential for moderate returns, suggesting stability.

Bearish Case: High SPY implied volatility and BoE’s cautious rate stance increase uncertainty. Potential geopolitical issues may adversely affect market sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Price stability with steady dividends: 50%.

2) Market volatility impacts adversely: 30%.

3) Economic recovery boosts sentiment: 20%.

May 21, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BOE

VT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.87)

DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.78)

SATS EchoStar (0.77)

DT Dynatrace (0.76)

SPYG SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.76)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BOE

SIG Signet Jewelers (-0.0)

BSY Bentley Systems (-0.0)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.0)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.01)

INTC Intel (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BOE

AMCX AMC Networks (-0.36)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.36)

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.38)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.45)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.47)

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