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BTI Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: BTI's strong shift to reduced-risk products, demonstrated by decreasing volatility and recent stock gains, supports potential growth.



Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and declining cigarette sales, combined with heightened short-term volatility, threaten BTI’s profitability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued success in non-combustibles drives growth (50%).
  • Regulatory challenges hinder progress (30%).
  • Market volatility impacts short-term stability (20%).


March 28, 2025


British American Tobacco Forecast

BTI        British American Tobacco

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ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.8)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BTI


ADI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADI  Analog Devices (-0.0)


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROIV  Roivant Sciences (-0.01)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.01)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.02)


APPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPN  Appian (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BTI


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.85)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.85)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.87)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (-0.89)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.89)







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