BZH Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: BZH's strong historical returns, a low price-to-book ratio, and high options volume suggest undervaluation and potential for upside. Housing market recovery aids sentiment.


Bearish Case: The high implied volatility and bearish analyst sentiment, coupled with broader market risks, might drag BZH lower. Historical mean reversion signals potential downside.


Potential Outcomes: Price stabilizes within $28-$31 (50%). Market volatility drives price down to $25 (30%). A housing rebound lifts prices to $34+ (20%).


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish call debit spread: buy $34 call and sell $35 call expiring Aug 2024. This capitalizes on undervaluation (P/B ratio 0.7) and high historical returns, with positive edge and high reward:risk. Helium and market forecasts support upward potential.


July 15, 2024


Beazer Homes USA Forecast

BZH      Beazer Homes USA











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BZH



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.09)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BZH



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.09)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BZH



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.24)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.09)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with BZH


 Ask any question about BZH!