BZH Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Low price-to-book ratio and undervaluation suggest potential upside. Positive historical returns and high call option volume indicate revived interest and potential momentum.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and mean reversion suggest downside risk. Concerns about housing market sustainability and tariffs on materials amplify downside potential.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price stabilizes at $20 (30%).
  • Recovery in housing boosts price to $25 (25%).
  • Market downturn dips price to $15 (45%).




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April 17, 2025


Beazer Homes USA Forecast

BZH        Beazer Homes USA











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BZH



PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.92)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.92)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.87)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.83)


SMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMG  Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BZH



PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.01)


FLEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLEX  Flex (-0.01)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (0.01)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (-0.01)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BZH



WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.47)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.52)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.54)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.62)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.64)









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