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CAL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Low implied volatility and historical returns suggest potential upside if strategic initiatives succeed.



Bearish Case: High recent implied volatility suggests market uncertainty, coupled with declining sales and insider selling, risks more downside.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Market re-evaluation boosts price (20%).

2. Continued insider selling pressures stock (35%).

3. Strategic initiatives drive recovery (30%).

4. Economic shifts cause volatility (15%).



Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish credit spread. Sell CAL May $20 puts, buy $15 puts. Utilize high volatility to gain premium, reflecting negative sentiment. Time frame is 4-5 months. Maximize profit from potential downside within a controlled risk structure.


January 03, 2025


Caleres Forecast

CAL        Caleres

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CAL


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (0.8)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (0.78)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (0.78)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.76)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CAL


TSLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSLX  Sixth Street Specialty Lending (-0.0)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.0)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.01)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.01)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CAL


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.73)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (-0.73)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (-0.73)


APO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APO  Apollo (-0.74)


WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (-0.75)







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